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Origins

CIA shifts to low-confidence lab-origin lean

Under new Director Ratcliffe, CIA assesses with low confidence that research-related origin is more likely than natural origin. No new intelligence claimed; both scenarios remain plausible.

Linked sources

CIA origins assessment shift — Jan. 25, 2025
Tier 2 · report · Low confidence: research-related origin more likely than natural

Related contentions

COVID-19 origins

IC split historically; CIA (Jan 2025) shifted to low-confidence lab-lean. No definitive public resolution.